Penerapan Data Mining Dalam Prediksi Kinerja Akademik Mahasiswa Menggunakan Algoritma Machine Learning

Vinsensius Yoga Danar Wijaya, Goenawan Brotosaputro

Sari


Prediksi kinerja akademik mahasiswa menjadi topik penting dalam pendidikan tinggi karena dapat membantu institusi mengidentifikasi mahasiswa yang berisiko mengalami penurunan prestasi dan merancang intervensi yang tepat. Berbagai penelitian telah memanfaatkan teknik data mining untuk tujuan ini, namun sejauh ini belum ada pemetaan komprehensif mengenai tren, metode, dan efektivitas pendekatan yang digunakan. Penelitian ini bertujuan melakukan Systematic Literature Review (SLR) dengan panduan Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guna mengkaji penerapan data mining dalam prediksi kinerja akademik mahasiswa. Pencarian literatur dilakukan pada basis data Scopus, IEEE Xplore, ScienceDirect, SpringerLink, dan Google Scholar dengan kriteria publikasi tahun 2016–2025. Dari 527 artikel awal, proses seleksi menghasilkan 24 artikel yang memenuhi kriteria inklusi. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa algoritma seperti Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, Artificial Neural Network, dan Graph Convolutional Networks digunakan secara luas dengan tingkat akurasi bervariasi. Faktor penentu performa model meliputi kualitas dataset, teknik feature selection, dan metode evaluasi. Penelitian ini menegaskan bahwa meskipun akurasi model terus meningkat, interpretabilitas hasil dan generalisasi model masih menjadi tantangan. Temuan ini memberikan landasan bagi pengembangan metode prediksi yang lebih efektif dan adaptif di masa depan.


Kata Kunci


Data mining, prediksi kinerja akademik, mahasiswa, machine learning

Teks Lengkap:

PDF

Referensi


Alamgir, Z., Akram, H., Karim, S., & Wali, A. (2024). Enhancing student performance prediction via educational data mining on academic data. Informatics in Education, 23(1), 1-24.

Alwarthan, S. A., Aslam, N., & Khan, I. U. (2022). Predicting student academic performance at higher education using data mining: a systematic review. Applied Computational Intelligence and Soft Computing, 2022(1), 8924028.

Amrieh, E. A., Hamtini, T., & Aljarah, I. (2016). Mining educational data to predict student’s academic performance using ensemble methods. International journal of database theory and application, 9(8), 119-136.

Batool, S., Rashid, J., Nisar, M. W., Kim, J., Kwon, H. Y., & Hussain, A. (2023). Educational data mining to predict students' academic performance: A survey study. Education and Information Technologies, 28(1), 905-971.

.

Chaka, C. (2021). Educational data mining, student academic performance prediction, prediction methods, algorithms and tools: An overview of reviews.

Chen, Z., Cen, G., Wei, Y., & Li, Z. (2023). Student performance prediction approach based on educational data mining. IEEE Access, 11, 131260-131272.

Chen, S., & Ding, Y. (2023). A machine learning approach to predicting academic performance in Pennsylvania’s schools. Social Sciences, 12(3), 118. https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci12030118

Feng, G., Fan, M., & Chen, Y. (2022). Analysis and prediction of students’ academic performance based on educational data mining. IEEE Access, 10, 19558-19571.

Francis, B. K., & Babu, S. S. (2019). Predicting academic performance of students using a hybrid data mining approach. Journal of medical systems, 43(6), 162.

Hamsa, H., Indiradevi, S., & Kizhakkethottam, J. (2016). Student academic performance prediction model using decision tree and fuzzy genetic algorithm. Procedia Technology, 25, 326–332. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.protcy.2016.08.114.

Hu, Q., & Rangwala, H. (2019). Academic performance estimation with attention-based graph convolutional networks. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2001.00632.

Kamal, P., & Ahuja, S. (2017). A review on prediction of academic performance of students at-risk using data mining techniques. Journal on Today's Ideas-Tomorrow's Technologies, 5(1), 30-39.

Kamal, P., & Ahuja, S. (2018). Academic performance prediction using data mining techniques: Identification of influential factors effecting the academic performance in undergrad professional course. In Harmony Search and Nature Inspired Optimization Algorithms: Theory and Applications, ICHSA 2018 (pp. 835-843). Singapore: Springer Singapore.

Khairy, D., Alharbi, N., Amasha, M. A., Areed, M. F., Alkhalaf, S., & Abougalala, R. A. (2024). Prediction of student exam performance using data mining classification algorithms. Education and Information Technologies, 29, 21621–21645. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10639-024-13116-1

Kim, B.-H., Vizitei, E., & Ganapathi, V. (2018). GritNet: Student performance prediction with deep learning. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1804.07405

López-Zambrano, J., Torralbo, J. A. L., & Romero, C. (2021). Early prediction of student learning performance through data mining: A systematic review. Psicothema, 33(3), 456.

Lynn, N. D., & Emanuel, A. W. R. (2021, March). Using data mining techniques to predict students’ performance. a review. In IOP Conference series: materials science and engineering (Vol. 1096, No. 1, p. 012083). IOP Publishing.

Martinez, A. L. J., Sood, K., & Mahto, R. (2024). Early detection of at-risk students using machine learning. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2412.09483.

Mueen, A., Zafar, B., & Manzoor, U. (2016). Modeling and predicting students’ academic performance using data mining techniques. International Journal of Modern Education and Computer Science, 8(11), 36-42.

Nahar, K., Shova, B. I., Ria, T., Rashid, H. B., & Islam, A. S. (2021). Mining educational data to predict students performance: A comparative study of data mining techniques. Education and Information Technologies, 26(5), 6051-6067.

Namoun, A., & Alshanqiti, A. (2020). Predicting student performance using data mining and learning analytics techniques: A systematic literature review. Applied Sciences, 11(1), 237.

Orji, F. A., & Vassileva, J. (2022). Machine learning approach for predicting students academic performance and study strategies based on their motivation. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2210.08186

Roslan, M. B., & Chen, C. (2022). Educational data mining for student performance prediction: A systematic literature review (2015-2021). International Journal of Emerging Technologies in Learning (iJET), 17(5), 147-179.

Saa, A. A. (2016). Educational data mining & students’ performance prediction. International journal of advanced computer science and applications, 7(5).

Saheed, Y. K., Oladele, T. O., Akanni, A. O., & Ibrahim, W. M. (2018). Student performance prediction based on data mining classification techniques. Nigerian Journal of Technology, 37(4), 1087-1091.

Salal, Y. K., Abdullaev, S. M., & Kumar, M. (2019). Educational data mining: Student performance prediction in academic. International Journal of Engineering and Advanced Technology, 8(4C), 54-59.

Suaza-Medina, M., Peñabaena-Niebles, R., & Jubiz-Diaz, M. (2024). A model for predicting academic performance on standardised tests for lagging regions based on machine learning and Shapley additive explanations. Scientific Reports, 14, 25306. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-66990-4.

Ünal, F. (2020). Data mining for student performance prediction in education. In Data mining-Methods, applications and systems. IntechOpen.

Waheed, H., Hassan, S.-U., Aljohani, N. R., Alelyani, S., Hardman, J., & Nawaz, R. (2020). Predicting academic performance of students from VLE big data using deep learning models. Computers in Human Behavior, 104, 106189. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chb.2019.106189.

Yağcı, M. (2022). Educational data mining: Prediction of students' academic performance using machine learning algorithms. Smart Learning Environments, 9(11). https://doi.org/10.1186/s40561-022-00191-4.

Zhang, Y., Yun, Y., An, R., Cui, J., Dai, H., & Shang, X. (2021). Educational data mining techniques for student performance prediction: method review and comparison analysis. Frontiers in psychology, 12, 698490.




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.30811/jim.v10i2.7643

Refbacks

  • Saat ini tidak ada refbacks.


##submission.copyrightStatement##